Impact of climate warming on the conditions of human life in Russia

Abstract

The continuing global warming and the growth of climate extremes are strongly identified at the terrain with special climatic conditions. In this regard, the urgency of using zoning of Russia by the natural conditions of life of the population increases. It is used for assessing the conditions of the modern climate and forecasting the living conditions of the population for the future climate, especially for the terrain with special climatic conditions. The zoning is based on the degree of action of the main natural factors: cold, heat, moisture, altitude, catastrophic events (hydrometeorological, seismic, geocryological). We have analyzed nature conditions of human life in the second part of the 20th century and their possible changes in the middle of the 21th century. The results of numerical experiments on global climate model of the Institute of Numerical Mathematics (INM) of RAS were used. As the result of the warming in 1991-2010 years there was a significant reduction of the territory with absolutely unfavorable and very unfavorable conditions. The scale of the reduction is similar to the change of discomfort area in the «hard» anthropogenic scenario for the period of 2046-2055 years.